Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sárbogárd Sportpálya, Sárbogárd
The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-1. If MTK Budapest II wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II?
MTK Budapest II starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,515 vs 1,308).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sárbogárd have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Sárbogárd score 0.9 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárbogárd | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárbogárd sit 14th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 15 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 5 |
A question about Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab AI model makes MTK Budapest II the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Sárbogárd vs MTK Budapest II is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sárbogárd Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.