Match

Sardarapat vs Van: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

SardarapatVan

The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Van. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sardarapat wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sardarapat vs Van?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sardarapat (1,589) and Van (1,535).

48%25%27%
Sardarapat winDrawVan win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sardarapat vs Van

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sardarapat

4-3-3
  1. 8L. Petrosyan
  2. 28H. Minasyan
  3. 9L. Vardanyan
  1. 77G. Abrahamyan
  2. 10Y. Budagyan
  3. 21S. Galstyan
  1. 4Armen Sargsyan
  2. 19J. Quiñonez
  3. 5Ousmane Konate
  4. 22Sergey Kochkanyan
  1. 39G. Matinyan

Van

4-3-3
  1. 10N. Manukyan
  2. 17S. Khalil
  3. 38T. Gevorgyan
  1. 7P. Avetisyan
  2. 91Danylo Polonskyi
  3. 36V. Makhsudyan
  1. 2J. Torres
  2. 33T. Voskanyan
  3. 13A. Gomes
  4. 23I. I. Daniel
  1. 45D. Bokov

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:31 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sardarapat have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Van have 4, 1 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sardarapat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026FC Noah(home)1-5Premier League
Sep 19, 2026BKMA(away)1-1Premier League
Sep 13, 2026Alashkert(home)1-1Premier League
Sep 9, 2026Pyunik Yerevan(home)2-4Premier League
Sep 6, 2026Shirak(away)0-2Premier League
Van
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Gandzasar(home)2-0Premier League
Sep 18, 2026FC Noah(away)0-2Premier League
Sep 11, 2026BKMA(home)2-1Premier League
Sep 3, 2026Alashkert(away)0-4Premier League
Aug 29, 2026Shirak(home)0-4Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 1 Sardarapat win, 0 draws, 0 Van wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Van 1-4 SardarapatPremier League

Last archived meeting: Van vs Sardarapat on Jul 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sardarapat score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Van score 0.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sardarapat1.81.6014/158/15
Van0.71.935/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sardarapat sit 6th in Premier League (12 points from 9 matches) and Van sit 10th (7 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Sardarapat9333151712
10Van92166217

A question about Sardarapat vs Van?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sardarapat vs Van?
The Footlab AI model makes Sardarapat the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Van.
Where and when is Sardarapat vs Van played?
Sardarapat vs Van is played on October 30, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sardarapat and Van

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