Sárisápi Bányász vs MTE 1904: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 16Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Dolina Stadion
The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sárisápi Bányász. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sárisápi Bányász vs MTE 1904?
MTE 1904 starts as the favourite with a 246-point Elo edge (1,575 vs 1,329).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Sárisápi Bányász have 3 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats; MTE 1904 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MTE 1904(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sárisápi Bányász win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 MTE 1904 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | MTE 1904 3-0 Sárisápi Bányász | NB III - Northwest |
Last archived meeting: MTE 1904 vs Sárisápi Bányász on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sárisápi Bányász score 1.2 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 13; MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sárisápi Bányász | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/13 | 10/13 |
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sárisápi Bányász sit 8th in NB III - Northwest (6 points from 4 matches) and MTE 1904 sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Sárisápi Bányász | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sárisápi Bányász vs MTE 1904?
- The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sárisápi Bányász.
- Where and when is Sárisápi Bányász vs MTE 1904 played?
- Sárisápi Bányász vs MTE 1904 is played on November 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Dolina Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.