Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK: prediction and stats
1. LigRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Iğdır FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Sarıyer (1,826) and Iğdır FK (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarıyer have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Iğdır FK have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(away) | 1-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Bodrum FK(away) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Esenler Erokspor(home) | 1-0 | 1. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kayserispor(home) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-1 | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fatih Karagümrük(home) | 2-0 | 1. Lig |
| May 2, 2026 | Amed(home) | 3-3 | 1. Lig |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sivasspor(away) | 1-2 | 1. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sarıyer win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Iğdır FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Sarıyer 1-0 Iğdır FK | 1. Lig |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Iğdır FK 2-1 Sarıyer | 1. Lig |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Sarıyer 0-0 Iğdır FK | 2. Lig |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Iğdır FK 2-1 Sarıyer | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sarıyer score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Iğdır FK score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarıyer | 1.5 | 0.8 | 9 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Iğdır FK | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sarıyer sit 9th in 1. Lig (4 points from 3 matches) and Iğdır FK sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarıyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 12 | Iğdır FK | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK?
- The Footlab model makes Sarıyer the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Iğdır FK.
- Where and when is Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK played?
- Sarıyer vs Iğdır FK is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Maltepe Hasan Polat Stadı, in the 1. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.