Concordia vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 33Kick-off on May 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Hinschenfelde, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Sasel the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Concordia. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Concordia vs Sasel?
Sasel starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Concordia vs Sasel
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Concordia
Not enough data to predict the Concordia lineup.
Sasel
Not enough data to predict the Sasel lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Concordia have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sasel have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | HT16(home) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2026 | HT16(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Concordia win, 0 draws, 5 Sasel wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | Concordia 1-3 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Sasel 4-2 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 19, 2024 | Concordia 0-4 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Sasel 3-4 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Sasel 3-1 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 28, 2022 | Concordia 0-1 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
How many goals should we expect?
Concordia score 1.8 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 1.7 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concordia | 1.8 | 3.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Sasel | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
A question about Concordia vs Sasel?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Concordia vs Sasel?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sasel the favourite at 55%, against 19% for a draw and 26% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Concordia vs Sasel played?
- Concordia vs Sasel is played on May 7, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Hinschenfelde, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.