Match

Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 32Kick-off on April 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)

PinnebergETSV Hamburg

The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Pinneberg. The most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,987 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg?

ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,986 vs 1,795).

26%20%54%
Pinneberg winDrawETSV Hamburg win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Pinneberg

Not enough data to predict the Pinneberg lineup.

ETSV Hamburg

Not enough data to predict the ETSV Hamburg lineup.

Computed on October 22, 2026 at 05:48 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Pinneberg have 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pinneberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Sasel(away)1-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 4, 2026Süderelbe(home)2-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 27, 2026HEBC(away)0-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 18, 2026Victoria Hamburg(away)1-3Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 13, 2026Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home)1-2Oberliga - Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026HT16(away)2-2Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 9, 2026Niendorfer TSV(home)4-6Oberliga - Hamburg
Oct 4, 2026Paloma(away)4-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 27, 2026Nikola Tesla(home)2-1Oberliga - Hamburg
Sep 11, 2026Harksheide(home)2-3Oberliga - Hamburg

How many goals should we expect?

Pinneberg score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; ETSV Hamburg score 2.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pinneberg2.32.319/119/11
ETSV Hamburg2.71.9114/1513/15

Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1ETSV Hamburg3426531262783

A question about Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg?
The Footlab AI model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Pinneberg.
Where and when is Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg played?
Pinneberg vs ETSV Hamburg is played on April 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pinneberg and ETSV Hamburg

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