Match

Sasso Marconi Zola vs Ternana: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Centro Sportivo Enrico Filippetti, Zola Predosa

Sasso Marconi ZolaTernana

The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Sasso Marconi Zola. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sasso Marconi Zola vs Ternana?

Ternana starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,641).

Sasso Marconi Zola win26 %
Draw29 %
Ternana win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasso Marconi Zola have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Ternana have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sasso Marconi Zola
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Imolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Progresso(away)1-4Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Imolese(home)1-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Rovato Vertovese(home)2-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026Desenzano Calvina(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Ternana
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Pianese(away)1-1Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Apr 26, 2026Pianese(home)1-3Serie C - Girone B
Apr 18, 2026Bra(away)2-1Serie C - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Perugia(home)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Juventus U23(away)1-2Serie C - Girone B

How many goals should we expect?

Sasso Marconi Zola score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ternana score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sasso Marconi Zola0.91.438/156/15
Ternana1.51.4211/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sasso Marconi Zola vs Ternana?
The Footlab model makes Ternana the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Sasso Marconi Zola.
Where and when is Sasso Marconi Zola vs Ternana played?
Sasso Marconi Zola vs Ternana is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Sportivo Enrico Filippetti, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sasso Marconi Zola and Ternana

Ready to know everything about football?