Match

Flaminia vs Progresso: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Turiddu Madami, Civita Castellana

FlaminiaProgresso

The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Flaminia vs Progresso?

On Elo ratings, Flaminia has 1,649 points and Progresso 1,553.

52%27%21%
Flaminia winDrawProgresso win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Flaminia vs Progresso

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Flaminia

Not enough data to predict the Flaminia lineup.

Progresso

Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flaminia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Flaminia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Seravezza(away)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Robur Siena(home)0-3Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Gavorrano(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Terranuova Traiana(away)1-5Serie D - Girone E
Progresso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Robur Siena(home)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Rondinella(away)1-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(away)0-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Seravezza(home)0-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Lucchese(away)0-5Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Flaminia score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Flaminia1.51.938/159/15
Progresso1.01.718/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Flaminia sit 6th in Serie D - Girone E (11 points from 6 matches) and Progresso sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Flaminia63219911
16Progresso61054153

A question about Flaminia vs Progresso?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Flaminia vs Progresso?
The Footlab AI model makes Flaminia the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Progresso.
Where and when is Flaminia vs Progresso played?
Flaminia vs Progresso is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turiddu Madami, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Flaminia and Progresso

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