Match

Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

GavorranoMontevarchi Calcio

The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gavorrano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?

A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Gavorrano (1,707) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,707).

41%31%28%
Gavorrano winDrawMontevarchi Calcio win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Gavorrano

4-3-3
  1. 9Cristian Carlo Brega
  2. 19R. Barbuti
  3. 11M. Malotti
  1. 8Loris Damonte
  2. 25Leandro Vitiello
  3. 21F. Conti
  1. 3P. Ropolo
  2. 23D. Mori
  3. 6D. Marchetti
  4. 16G. Favale
  1. 1W. Falcone

Montevarchi Calcio

Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:58 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Prato(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 11, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Flaminia(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Montevarchi Calcio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away)3-0Serie D - Girone E
Oct 11, 2026Rondinella(home)0-1Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026Ternana(away)1-4Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Progresso(home)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Robur Siena(away)0-3Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gavorrano win, 4 draws, 1 Montevarchi Calcio win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026Gavorrano 0-0 Montevarchi CalcioSerie D - Girone E
Nov 9, 2025Montevarchi Calcio 0-1 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Mar 23, 2025Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi CalcioSerie D - Girone E
Nov 10, 2024Montevarchi Calcio 1-0 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Jan 28, 2024Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 GavorranoSerie D - Girone E
Oct 1, 2023Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi CalcioSerie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Gavorrano1.40.9410/154/15
Montevarchi Calcio1.01.066/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (16 points from 8 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Gavorrano844011516
10Montevarchi Calcio8314121210

A question about Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?
The Footlab AI model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 41%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Gavorrano and Montevarchi Calcio

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