Where and when is Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio played?

Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Romeo Malservisi, Bagno di Gavorrano

Gavorrano

Montevarchi Calcio

The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?

A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Gavorrano (1,643) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,692).

Gavorrano win35 %

Draw32 %

Montevarchi Calcio win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gavorrano have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gavorrano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Camaiore(home)	3-2	Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026	Tau Altopascio(home)	1-2	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Scandicci(away)	3-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Sporting Trestina(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

Montevarchi Calcio
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Figline(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Prato(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Robur Siena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Terranuova Traiana(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gavorrano win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Gavorrano 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Nov 9, 2025	Montevarchi Calcio 0-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Mar 23, 2025	Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E
Nov 10, 2024	Montevarchi Calcio 1-0 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Jan 28, 2024	Montevarchi Calcio 1-1 Gavorrano	Serie D - Girone E
Oct 1, 2023	Gavorrano 1-1 Montevarchi Calcio	Serie D - Girone E

Last archived meeting: Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Gavorrano score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gavorrano	1.1	1.4	2	9/15	5/15
Montevarchi Calcio	0.7	0.3	10	4/15	0/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Gavorrano sit 14th in Serie D - Girone E (37 points from 34 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Montevarchi Calcio	34	10	16	8	28	32	46
14	Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36	49	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio?: The Footlab model makes Gavorrano the favourite at 35%, against 32% for a draw and 33% for Montevarchi Calcio.
Where and when is Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio played?: Gavorrano vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Romeo Malservisi, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.