Prato vs Lucchese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 32Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Lucchese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Prato wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Lucchese?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Prato (1,759) and Lucchese (1,695).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Prato vs Lucchese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Prato
Not enough data to predict the Prato lineup.
Lucchese
4-3-3- 9S. Magnaghi
- 70E. Saporiti
- 10A. Selvini
- 21E. Visconti
- 27R. Gucher
- 96G. Galli
- 5S. Benedetti
- 29E. Antoni
- 30A. Gemignani
- 3N. Rizzo
- 59R. Melgrati
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Lucchese have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Seravezza(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 6-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Prato win, 1 draw, 3 Lucchese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2019 | Prato 0-1 Lucchese | Serie D - Girone A |
| Mar 24, 2018 | Prato 0-1 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Lucchese 0-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Prato 3-2 Lucchese | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 23, 2016 | Lucchese 3-0 Prato | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Lucchese | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (14 points from 6 matches) and Lucchese sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Lucchese | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 13 |
A question about Prato vs Lucchese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Lucchese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Prato the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Lucchese.
- Where and when is Prato vs Lucchese played?
- Prato vs Lucchese is played on April 18, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 18, 2027GavorranovsMontevarchi Calcio
- Apr 18, 2027Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsGrassina
- Apr 18, 2027MezzolaravsTau Altopascio
- Apr 18, 2027Sasso Marconi ZolavsTernana
- Apr 18, 2027FlaminiavsProgresso
- Apr 18, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsRondinella
- Apr 18, 2027ScandiccivsSeravezza
- Apr 18, 2027Terranuova TraianavsRobur Siena