Match

Sassuolo vs Frosinone: prediction and stats

Serie AMatchday 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia

SassuoloFrosinone

The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,580 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

Frosinone starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,085 vs 1,973).

32%27%41%
Sassuolo winDrawFrosinone win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sassuolo vs Frosinone

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sassuolo

4-3-3
  1. 45A. Laurienté
  2. 94S. Esposito
  3. 10D. Berardi
  1. 18N. Matić
  2. 42K. Thorstvedt
  3. 55I. Sulemana
  1. 3J. Doig
  2. 15D. Ćaleta-Car
  3. 21J. Idzes
  4. 6S. Walukiewicz
  1. 49A. Murić

Frosinone

4-2-3-1
  1. 9A. Raimondo
  1. 14G. Calò
  2. 7F. Ghedjemis
  3. 10R. Schmid
  4. 17G. Kvernadze
  5. 16Matteo Cichella
  1. 3G. Calvani
  2. 79G. Bracaglia
  3. 30I. Monterisi
  4. 20A. Oyono
  1. 22L. Palmisani

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:06 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sassuolo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sassuolo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026AS Roma(away)0-3Serie A
Nov 2, 2026Fiorentina(home)2-4Serie A
Oct 27, 2026Lazio(home)2-6Serie A
Oct 24, 2026Como(away)0-2Serie A
Oct 16, 2026Frosinone(away)2-4Serie A
Frosinone
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Cagliari(away)0-1Serie A
Nov 1, 2026Torino(home)2-0Serie A
Oct 29, 2026Lecce(home)5-1Serie A
Oct 25, 2026Atalanta(away)4-4Serie A
Oct 16, 2026Sassuolo(home)4-2Serie A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sassuolo wins, 1 draw, 3 Frosinone wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Frosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A
Sep 2, 2026Sassuolo 1-1 FrosinoneCoppa Italia
May 13, 2025Sassuolo 0-1 FrosinoneSerie B
Dec 14, 2024Frosinone 1-2 SassuoloSerie B
Mar 9, 2024Sassuolo 1-0 FrosinoneSerie A
Sep 17, 2023Frosinone 4-2 SassuoloSerie A

Last archived meeting: Frosinone vs Sassuolo on Oct 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sassuolo score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sassuolo1.52.5112/1512/15
Frosinone2.11.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sassuolo sit 17th in Serie A (8 points from 11 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (20 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Frosinone11623241520
17Sassuolo1122716298

A question about Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sassuolo.
Where and when is Sassuolo vs Frosinone played?
Sassuolo vs Frosinone is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sassuolo and Frosinone