AC Milan vs Lazio: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano
The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lazio. The most likely score is 1-1. If AC Milan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AC Milan vs Lazio?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate AC Milan (2,152) and Lazio (2,093).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AC Milan vs Lazio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AC Milan
3-4-2-1- 9Gonçalo Ramos
- 12A. Rabiot
- 21S. Chukwueze
- 2P. Estupiñán
- 80Y. Musah
- 22Diego Moreira
- 70A. Cissè
- 31S. Pavlović
- 34Mario Gila
- 5K. De Winter
- 16M. Maignan
Lazio
4-3-3- 10M. Zaccagni
- 14T. Noslin
- 11G. Isaksen
- 21R. Belahyane
- 24K. Taylor
- 16D. Frattesi
- 15R. Floriani Mussolini
- 25O. Provstgaard
- 5D. Doekhi
- 17Nuno Tavares
- 35C. Mandas
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AC Milan have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lazio have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lecce(home) | 3-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Benfica(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Monza(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan(home) | 2-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 AC Milan win, 2 draws, 3 Lazio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lazio 2-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Lazio 1-0 AC Milan | Serie A |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Lazio 1-0 AC Milan | Coppa Italia |
| Nov 29, 2025 | AC Milan 1-0 Lazio | Serie A |
| Mar 2, 2025 | AC Milan 1-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Lazio 2-2 AC Milan | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
AC Milan score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Lazio score 2.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Lazio | 2.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AC Milan sit 5th in Serie A (12 points from 6 matches) and Lazio sit 2nd (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lazio | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 12 |
A question about AC Milan vs Lazio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AC Milan vs Lazio?
- The Footlab AI model makes AC Milan the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Lazio.
- Where and when is AC Milan vs Lazio played?
- AC Milan vs Lazio is played on May 2, 2027 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.