Frosinone vs Sassuolo: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sassuolo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Frosinone (2,057) and Sassuolo (2,003).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frosinone vs Sassuolo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 10R. Schmid
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 3G. Calvani
- 20A. Oyono
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Sassuolo
4-3-3- 45A. Laurienté
- 10D. Berardi
- 94S. Esposito
- 18N. Matić
- 42K. Thorstvedt
- 50D. Bakola
- 3J. Doig
- 16F. Leysen
- 46S. Cinquegrano
- 21J. Idzes
- 49A. Murić
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Sassuolo have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 3-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Torino(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frosinone wins, 2 draws, 2 Sassuolo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo 1-1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| May 13, 2025 | Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo | Serie B |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| May 5, 2019 | Sassuolo 2-2 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sassuolo score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Sassuolo | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frosinone sit 6th in Serie A (10 points from 5 matches) and Sassuolo sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Sassuolo.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs Sassuolo played?
- Frosinone vs Sassuolo is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.