PAOK vs Panathinaikos: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 14Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Toumbas, Thessaloníki
The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for PAOK. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panathinaikos wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate PAOK (2,125) and Panathinaikos (2,161).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for PAOK vs Panathinaikos
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
PAOK
4-2-3-1- 27C. Ndiaye
- 20C. Zafeiris
- 18K. Jakić
- 11Taison
- 14A. Živković
- 16O. Ugresić
- 3J. Kenny
- 5G. Michailidis
- 19Diego Costa
- 21A. Baba
- 41D. Monastirlis
Panathinaikos
4-2-3-1- 9C. Dessers
- 10Santino Andino
- 21A. Ounahi
- 42K. Kangwa
- 26I. Louza
- 99L. García
- 6S. de Vrij
- 55R. van Drongelen
- 2D. Calabria
- 77G. Kiriakopoulos
- 1Iñaki Peña
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, PAOK have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Panathinaikos have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Kalamata(home) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Atromitos(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 5-1 | Super League 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Borac Banja Luka(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(away) | 0-1 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kifisia(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 PAOK wins, 2 draws, 1 Panathinaikos win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Panathinaikos 2-2 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | PAOK 0-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos | Cup |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Panathinaikos 0-1 PAOK | Cup |
| Dec 21, 2025 | PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Panathinaikos score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Panathinaikos | 2.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
PAOK sit 3rd in Super League 1 (15 points from 7 matches) and Panathinaikos sit 1st (18 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | PAOK | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
A question about PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Panathinaikos?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panathinaikos the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for PAOK.
- Where and when is PAOK vs Panathinaikos played?
- PAOK vs Panathinaikos is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Toumbas, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.