Where and when is Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis played?

Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, Moers

Scherpenberg

SC St. Tönis

The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 36% for SC St. Tönis. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Scherpenberg (1,762) and SC St. Tönis (1,834).

Scherpenberg win44 %

Draw20 %

SC St. Tönis win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Scherpenberg have 1 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; SC St. Tönis have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scherpenberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sonsbeck(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	SW Essen(home)	5-3	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 12, 2024	Sonsbeck(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2020	Sterkrade-Nord(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

SC St. Tönis
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt(home)	0-11	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Solingen-Wald(home)	3-2	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 15, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf II(home)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Hilden(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein

How many goals should we expect?

Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; SC St. Tönis score 1.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Scherpenberg	2.3	1.8	0	4/4	2/4
SC St. Tönis	1.9	2.5	4	9/15	12/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Scherpenberg sit 6th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (3 points from 1 matches) and SC St. Tönis sit 7th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Scherpenberg	1	1	0	0	5	3	3
7	SC St. Tönis	1	1	0	0	3	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis?: The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 44%, against 20% for a draw and 36% for SC St. Tönis.
Where and when is Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis played?: Scherpenberg vs SC St. Tönis is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Hartplatz SV Scherpenberg, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.