SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BSA Grazer Strasse, Monheim
The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate SF Baumberg (1,753) and Holzheimer SG (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Baumberg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Meerbusch(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sonsbeck(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Büderich(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Biemenhorst(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Solingen-Wald(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | KFC Uerdingen 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Schonnebeck(home) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | BW Dingden(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SF Baumberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Holzheimer SG win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Holzheimer SG 4-2 SF Baumberg | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Sep 6, 2025 | SF Baumberg 1-2 Holzheimer SG | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF Baumberg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Holzheimer SG | 1.4 | 2.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SF Baumberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SF Baumberg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 17 | Holzheimer SG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG?
- The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG.
- Where and when is SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG played?
- SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 13, 2026SSVg VelbertvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Nov 14, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05vsWuppertaler SV
- Nov 15, 2026SonsbeckvsBüderich
- Nov 15, 2026SW EssenvsBW Dingden
- Nov 15, 2026MeerbuschvsSchonnebeck
- Nov 15, 2026ScherpenbergvsSC St. Tönis
- Nov 15, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsMonheim
- Nov 15, 2026Solingen-WaldvsGermania Ratingen