Match

SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 13Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)BSA Grazer Strasse, Monheim

SF BaumbergHolzheimer SG

The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate SF Baumberg (1,753) and Holzheimer SG (1,709).

SF Baumberg win50 %
Draw23 %
Holzheimer SG win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SF Baumberg have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Holzheimer SG have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SF Baumberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Meerbusch(away)4-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026Sonsbeck(home)1-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 18, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)0-7Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026Büderich(away)1-3Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026Biemenhorst(home)7-1Oberliga - Niederrhein
Holzheimer SG
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Solingen-Wald(away)1-2Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 15, 2026KFC Uerdingen 05(home)1-5Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jun 7, 2026Schonnebeck(home)3-4Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026BW Dingden(away)0-0Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 17, 2026Germania Ratingen(home)2-2Oberliga - Niederrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 SF Baumberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Holzheimer SG win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Holzheimer SG 4-2 SF BaumbergOberliga - Niederrhein
Sep 6, 2025SF Baumberg 1-2 Holzheimer SGOberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: Holzheimer SG vs SF Baumberg on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SF Baumberg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holzheimer SG score 1.4 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SF Baumberg1.52.347/158/15
Holzheimer SG1.42.539/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SF Baumberg sit 3rd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and Holzheimer SG sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3SF Baumberg2110534
17Holzheimer SG2002270

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG?
The Footlab model makes SF Baumberg the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Holzheimer SG.
Where and when is SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG played?
SF Baumberg vs Holzheimer SG is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at BSA Grazer Strasse, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SF Baumberg and Holzheimer SG

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