Schonnebeck vs Scherpenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schetters Busch, Essen
The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Scherpenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schonnebeck vs Scherpenberg?
Schonnebeck starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schonnebeck have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Scherpenberg have 1, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Ratingen(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Holzheimer SG(away) | 4-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| May 30, 2026 | Homberg(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SW Essen(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Niederrhein |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Sonsbeck(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2020 | Sterkrade-Nord(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Schonnebeck score 3.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schonnebeck | 3.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Scherpenberg | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0 | 4/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schonnebeck sit 2nd in Oberliga - Niederrhein (4 points from 2 matches) and Scherpenberg sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schonnebeck | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Scherpenberg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schonnebeck vs Scherpenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Schonnebeck the favourite at 62%, against 18% for a draw and 20% for Scherpenberg.
- Where and when is Schonnebeck vs Scherpenberg played?
- Schonnebeck vs Scherpenberg is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schetters Busch, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Wuppertaler SVvsSW Essen
- Oct 16, 2026Germania RatingenvsSonsbeck
- Oct 16, 2026BW DingdenvsFortuna Düsseldorf II
- Oct 18, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.vsKFC Uerdingen 05
- Oct 18, 2026MonheimvsMeerbusch
- Oct 18, 2026Solingen-WaldvsSSVg Velbert
- Oct 18, 2026SC St. TönisvsHolzheimer SG
- Oct 18, 2026BüderichvsSF Baumberg