Scandicci vs Progresso: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turri, Firenze
The Footlab AI model makes Scandicci the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scandicci vs Progresso?
On Elo ratings, Scandicci has 1,731 points and Progresso 1,639.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Scandicci vs Progresso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Scandicci
Not enough data to predict the Scandicci lineup.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:35 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scandicci have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sasso Marconi Zola(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ternana(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Grassina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Scandicci wins, 0 draws, 1 Progresso win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Progresso 2-1 Scandicci | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Progresso vs Scandicci on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scandicci score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scandicci | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scandicci sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (12 points from 7 matches) and Progresso sit 17th (3 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Scandicci | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Progresso | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Scandicci vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scandicci vs Progresso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Scandicci the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Scandicci vs Progresso played?
- Scandicci vs Progresso is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027LucchesevsSeravezza
- Jan 10, 2027PratovsRondinella
- Jan 10, 2027GavorranovsTernana
- Jan 10, 2027MezzolaravsRobur Siena
- Jan 10, 2027FlaminiavsGrassina
- Jan 10, 2027San Donato TavarnellevsSasso Marconi Zola
- Jan 10, 2027Tau AltopasciovsMontevarchi Calcio
- Jan 10, 2027Terranuova TraianavsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano