Where and when is Scandicci vs Progresso played?

Scandicci vs Progresso is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Scandicci vs Progresso: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Turri, Firenze

Scandicci

Progresso

The Footlab model makes Scandicci the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scandicci vs Progresso?

A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Scandicci (1,696) and Progresso (1,681).

Scandicci win43 %

Draw29 %

Progresso win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scandicci have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Progresso have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scandicci
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 31, 2026	Robur Siena(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Poggibonsi(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026	Gavorrano(home)	1-3	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026	Cannara(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026	Orvietana Calcio(away)	1-0	Serie D - Girone E

Progresso
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(home)	4-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sant'Angelo(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Lentigione(away)	2-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Correggese(home)	1-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 2, 2026	Tuttocuoio(away)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Scandicci score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Scandicci	1.1	1.1	4	9/15	3/15
Progresso	1.0	1.3	3	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39	32	48

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scandicci vs Progresso?: The Footlab model makes Scandicci the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Progresso.
Where and when is Scandicci vs Progresso played?: Scandicci vs Progresso is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Turri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.