Lucchese vs Seravezza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca
The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Seravezza. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lucchese vs Seravezza?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,735) and Seravezza (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Seravezza have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2025 | Sestri Levante(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2025 | Sestri Levante(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Torres(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Arezzo(away) | 1-4 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lucchese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Seravezza win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2019 | Seravezza 2-2 Lucchese | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Lucchese on Nov 17, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucchese | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Seravezza?
- The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Seravezza.
- Where and when is Lucchese vs Seravezza played?
- Lucchese vs Seravezza is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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