Match

Lucchese vs Seravezza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Porta Elisa, Lucca

LuccheseSeravezza

The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Seravezza. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lucchese vs Seravezza?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Lucchese (1,735) and Seravezza (1,779).

Lucchese win38 %
Draw30 %
Seravezza win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lucchese have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Seravezza have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2025Sestri Levante(home)1-0Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
May 10, 2025Sestri Levante(away)1-2Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs
Apr 27, 2025Torres(home)3-2Serie C - Girone B
Apr 23, 2025Arezzo(away)1-4Serie C - Girone B
Apr 13, 2025Vis Pesaro(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Seravezza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Pistoiese(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026Prato(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Tau Altopascio(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Foligno Calcio(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lucchese win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Seravezza win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 17, 2019Seravezza 2-2 LuccheseSerie D - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Seravezza vs Lucchese on Nov 17, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Lucchese score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lucchese1.71.6411/159/15
Seravezza1.10.958/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Seravezza3415127422957

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lucchese vs Seravezza?
The Footlab model makes Lucchese the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Seravezza.
Where and when is Lucchese vs Seravezza played?
Lucchese vs Seravezza is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Porta Elisa, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lucchese and Seravezza

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