Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Altopascio, Altopascio
The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Tau Altopascio (1,769) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tau Altopascio have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Figline(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Prato(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Tau Altopascio win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Montevarchi Calcio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-0 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tau Altopascio 3-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Tau Altopascio 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 0.7 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 0.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 0/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tau Altopascio sit 3rd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 9th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
| 9 | Montevarchi Calcio | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 48%, against 30% for a draw and 22% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.