Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Altopascio, Altopascio
The Footlab AI model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tau Altopascio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Tau Altopascio (1,768) and Montevarchi Calcio (1,718).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tau Altopascio
Not enough data to predict the Tau Altopascio lineup.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tau Altopascio have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Montevarchi Calcio have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Grassina(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tau Altopascio win, 1 draw, 3 Montevarchi Calcio wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio 4-1 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio 2-0 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tau Altopascio 3-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Montevarchi Calcio 3-2 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Tau Altopascio 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Montevarchi Calcio vs Tau Altopascio on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tau Altopascio score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tau Altopascio | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tau Altopascio sit 6th in Serie D - Girone E (13 points from 8 matches) and Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tau Altopascio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 13 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tau Altopascio the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio played?
- Tau Altopascio vs Montevarchi Calcio is played on January 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Altopascio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.