Where and when is SW Essen vs Scherpenberg played?

SW Essen vs Scherpenberg is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SW Essen vs Scherpenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - NiederrheinNiederrhein - 18Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Uhlenkrugstadion, Essen

SW Essen

Scherpenberg

The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for SW Essen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SW Essen vs Scherpenberg?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate SW Essen (1,736) and Scherpenberg (1,762).

SW Essen win33 %

Draw22 %

Scherpenberg win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SW Essen have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; Scherpenberg have 1, 3 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SW Essen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SSVg Velbert(home)	1-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg(away)	3-5	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Jul 11, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(away)	1-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 7, 2026	Meerbusch(home)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein
May 31, 2026	Kleve(away)	3-4	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Scherpenberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sonsbeck(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Aug 14, 2026	SW Essen(home)	5-3	Oberliga - Niederrhein
Mar 12, 2024	Sonsbeck(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2020	Sterkrade-Nord(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 SW Essen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Scherpenberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Scherpenberg 5-3 SW Essen	Oberliga - Niederrhein

Last archived meeting: Scherpenberg vs SW Essen on Aug 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SW Essen score 1.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Scherpenberg score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SW Essen	1.5	2.7	1	9/15	11/15
Scherpenberg	2.3	1.8	0	4/4	2/4

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SW Essen sit 16th in Oberliga - Niederrhein (0 points from 2 matches) and Scherpenberg sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Scherpenberg	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
16	SW Essen	2	0	0	2	4	9	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SW Essen vs Scherpenberg?: The Footlab model makes Scherpenberg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for SW Essen.
Where and when is SW Essen vs Scherpenberg played?: SW Essen vs Scherpenberg is played on February 14, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Uhlenkrugstadion, in the Oberliga - Niederrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.