Schott Mainz vs Elversberg II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / SaarRheinland-Pfalz/Saar - 24Kick-off on March 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, Mainz-Mombach
The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Elversberg II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schott Mainz vs Elversberg II?
Schott Mainz is a heavy favourite: 1,844 Elo points against 1,499 — a 345-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schott Mainz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Elversberg II have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 0-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FV Engers 07(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Cosmos Koblenz(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Emmelshausen-Karbach(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mechtersheim(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wormatia Worms(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hertha Wiesbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TuS Koblenz(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Victoria Rosport(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Schott Mainz score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Elversberg II score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schott Mainz | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Elversberg II | 1.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schott Mainz sit 2nd in Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar (10 points from 4 matches) and Elversberg II sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Schott Mainz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Elversberg II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schott Mainz vs Elversberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Schott Mainz the favourite at 76%, against 14% for a draw and 10% for Elversberg II.
- Where and when is Schott Mainz vs Elversberg II played?
- Schott Mainz vs Elversberg II is played on March 17, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Mainz Golden Eagles Stadium, in the Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 17, 2027Wormatia WormsvsGau-Odernheim
- Mar 17, 2027FV Engers 07vsTuS RW Koblenz
- Mar 17, 2027Hertha WiesbachvsTuS Koblenz
- Mar 17, 2027DiefflenvsGonsenheim
- Mar 17, 2027MechtersheimvsRW Wittlich
- Mar 17, 2027EisbachtalvsAuersmacher
- Mar 17, 2027Cosmos KoblenzvsAhrweiler
- Mar 17, 2027FC Emmelshausen-KarbachvsPirmasens