Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes Schwaben Augsburg the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Bayreuth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Schwaben Augsburg (1,794) and Bayreuth (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwaben Augsburg have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Bayreuth have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Eichstätt(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Illertissen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Illertissen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Memmingen(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Greuther Fürth II(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Schwaben Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bayreuth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Bayreuth 2-0 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 2-2 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Schwaben Augsburg 1-1 Bayreuth | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Bayreuth 3-2 Schwaben Augsburg | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Bayreuth vs Schwaben Augsburg on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Schwaben Augsburg score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bayreuth score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwaben Augsburg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Bayreuth | 2.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Schwaben Augsburg sit 13th in Regionalliga - Bayern (5 points from 5 matches) and Bayreuth sit 10th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bayreuth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 7 |
| 13 | Schwaben Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth?
- The Footlab model makes Schwaben Augsburg the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Bayreuth.
- Where and when is Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth played?
- Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ernst-Lehner-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsEltersdorf
- Oct 10, 2026Bayern München IIvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 10, 2026IllertissenvsTSV 1860 München
- Oct 10, 2026MemmingenvsEichstätt
- Oct 10, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Oct 10, 2026VilzingvsBuchbach
- Oct 10, 2026AnsbachvsNürnberg II
- Oct 10, 2026LandsbergvsAubstadt