Ansbach vs Nürnberg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, Ansbach
The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ansbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ansbach vs Nürnberg II?
Nürnberg II starts as the favourite with a 199-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ansbach have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Nürnberg II have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Essingen(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wacker Burghausen(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eltersdorf(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Buchbach(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Vilzing(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ansbach win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Nürnberg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ansbach 2-0 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Nürnberg II 3-1 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ansbach 0-3 Nürnberg II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Nürnberg II 1-1 Ansbach | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Ansbach 1-4 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Ansbach 0-3 Nürnberg II | Regionalliga - Bayern |
Last archived meeting: Ansbach vs Nürnberg II on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ansbach score 1.8 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Nürnberg II score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansbach | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Nürnberg II | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ansbach sit 19th in Regionalliga - Bayern (0 points from 4 matches) and Nürnberg II sit 15th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nürnberg II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 19 | Ansbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ansbach vs Nürnberg II?
- The Footlab model makes Nürnberg II the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ansbach.
- Where and when is Ansbach vs Nürnberg II played?
- Ansbach vs Nürnberg II is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Xaver-Bertsch-Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsEltersdorf
- Oct 10, 2026Bayern München IIvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 10, 2026IllertissenvsTSV 1860 München
- Oct 10, 2026MemmingenvsEichstätt
- Oct 10, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Oct 10, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsBayreuth
- Oct 10, 2026VilzingvsBuchbach
- Oct 10, 2026LandsbergvsAubstadt