Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for TSV 1860 München. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Illertissen (1,978) and TSV 1860 München (1,914).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; TSV 1860 München have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and TSV 1860 München sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for TSV 1860 München.
- Where and when is Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München played?
- Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05vsEltersdorf
- Oct 10, 2026Bayern München IIvsSpVgg Unterhaching
- Oct 10, 2026MemmingenvsEichstätt
- Oct 10, 2026Wacker BurghausenvsGreuther Fürth II
- Oct 10, 2026Schwaben AugsburgvsBayreuth
- Oct 10, 2026VilzingvsBuchbach
- Oct 10, 2026AnsbachvsNürnberg II
- Oct 10, 2026LandsbergvsAubstadt