Match

Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 13Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vöhlin-Stadion, Illertissen

IllertissenTSV 1860 München

The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for TSV 1860 München. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Illertissen (1,978) and TSV 1860 München (1,914).

Illertissen win50 %
Draw24 %
TSV 1860 München win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Illertissen have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; TSV 1860 München have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Illertissen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Bayreuth(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026SpVgg Unterhaching(home)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Landsberg(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 31, 2026Schwaben Augsburg(home)2-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Jul 24, 2026Eichstätt(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
TSV 1860 München
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Aubstadt(away)3-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 14, 2026Memmingen(away)3-0Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 7, 2026Augsburg II(home)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern
Aug 1, 2026FC Schweinfurt 05(away)2-2Regionalliga - Bayern

How many goals should we expect?

Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Illertissen2.30.976/1510/15
TSV 1860 München1.31.639/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Illertissen sit 2nd in Regionalliga - Bayern (11 points from 5 matches) and TSV 1860 München sit 6th (8 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Illertissen532012411
6TSV 1860 München42201068

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München?
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for TSV 1860 München.
Where and when is Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München played?
Illertissen vs TSV 1860 München is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vöhlin-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Illertissen and TSV 1860 München

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