Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)siegmund arena, Schwabmünchen
The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Erlbach wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach?
Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,833 vs 1,722).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Schwabmünchen
Not enough data to predict the Schwabmünchen lineup.
Erlbach
Not enough data to predict the Erlbach lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwabmünchen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Erlbach have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gundelfingen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Deisenhofen(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Landshut(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Heimstetten(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Pipinsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 1860 München II(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kottern(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Schwabmünchen score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schwabmünchen | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Erlbach | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erlbach | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 35 | 53 |
A question about Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erlbach the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Schwabmünchen.
- Where and when is Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach played?
- Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at siegmund arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaigvs1860 München II
- Oct 17, 2026Heimstettenvs1860 Rosenheim
- Oct 17, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsKirchanschöring
- Oct 17, 2026PipinsriedvsKottern
- Oct 17, 2026PfaffenhofenvsGundelfingen
- Oct 17, 2026TuS GeretsriedvsIsmaning
- Oct 17, 2026LandshutvsDeisenhofen
- Oct 17, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1880 Wasserburg