Where and when is Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach played?

Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at siegmund arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)siegmund arena, Schwabmünchen

Schwabmünchen

Erlbach

The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Schwabmünchen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach?

Erlbach starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,690).

Schwabmünchen win35 %

Draw26 %

Erlbach win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Schwabmünchen have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Erlbach have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Schwabmünchen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Schalding-Heining(home)	8-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Heimstetten(home)	1-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 1, 2026	Pipinsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Erlbach
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(away)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Kirchanschöring(away)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	1-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

How many goals should we expect?

Schwabmünchen score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Erlbach score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Schwabmünchen	1.3	2.3	2	8/15	11/15
Erlbach	1.1	1.1	7	4/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Erlbach	32	16	5	11	42	35	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach?: The Footlab model makes Erlbach the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Schwabmünchen.
Where and when is Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach played?: Schwabmünchen vs Erlbach is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at siegmund arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.