TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried
The Footlab AI model makes Ismaning the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for TuS Geretsried. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ismaning wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate TuS Geretsried (1,684) and Ismaning (1,745).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TuS Geretsried
Not enough data to predict the TuS Geretsried lineup.
Ismaning
Not enough data to predict the Ismaning lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Ismaning have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Erlbach(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kirchanschöring(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Gundelfingen(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | 1880 Wasserburg(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Deisenhofen(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heimstetten(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Sep 12, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 TuS Geretsried wins, 2 draws, 0 Ismaning wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | Ismaning 1-1 TuS Geretsried | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 19, 2025 | TuS Geretsried 1-1 Ismaning | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
Last archived meeting: Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried on Nov 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Geretsried score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ismaning score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Geretsried | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ismaning | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS Geretsried sit 11th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (45 points from 34 matches) and Ismaning sit 12th (42 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | TuS GeretsriedBayernliga South | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 50 | 50 | 45 |
| 12 | IsmaningBayernliga Sud | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 58 | 42 |
A question about TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ismaning the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for TuS Geretsried.
- Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning played?
- TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Sportfreunde Schwaigvs1860 München II
- Oct 17, 2026Heimstettenvs1860 Rosenheim
- Oct 17, 2026Schalding-HeiningvsKirchanschöring
- Oct 17, 2026PipinsriedvsKottern
- Oct 17, 2026SchwabmünchenvsErlbach
- Oct 17, 2026PfaffenhofenvsGundelfingen
- Oct 17, 2026LandshutvsDeisenhofen
- Oct 17, 2026Hankofen-Hailingvs1880 Wasserburg