Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning played?

TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 15Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Isaraustadion, Geretsried

TuS Geretsried

Ismaning

The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ismaning. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate TuS Geretsried (1,746) and Ismaning (1,722).

TuS Geretsried win48 %

Draw23 %

Ismaning win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TuS Geretsried have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ismaning have 7, 1 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TuS Geretsried
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pfaffenhofen(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schalding-Heining(away)	5-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2026	Schwabmünchen(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Sportfreunde Schwaig(home)	2-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Heimstetten(away)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Ismaning
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	4-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Gundelfingen(away)	5-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	1880 Wasserburg(home)	2-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	Deisenhofen(away)	0-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Landshut(home)	3-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 TuS Geretsried win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ismaning win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Nov 8, 2025	Ismaning 1-1 TuS Geretsried	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 19, 2025	TuS Geretsried 1-1 Ismaning	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: Ismaning vs TuS Geretsried on Nov 8, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

TuS Geretsried score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ismaning score 1.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
TuS Geretsried	2.0	1.6	2	12/15	10/15
Ismaning	1.8	1.7	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TuS Geretsried sit 11th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (45 points from 34 matches) and Ismaning sit 12th (42 points from 32 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	TuS Geretsried	34	12	9	13	50	50	45
12	Ismaning	32	11	9	12	50	58	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning?: The Footlab model makes TuS Geretsried the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Ismaning.
Where and when is TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning played?: TuS Geretsried vs Ismaning is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Isaraustadion, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.