Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II played?

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 15Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, Oberding

Sportfreunde Schwaig

1860 München II

The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Schwaig. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II?

1860 München II starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,867 vs 1,754).

Sportfreunde Schwaig win32 %

Draw25 %

1860 München II win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Schwaig have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; 1860 München II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Schwaig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Erlbach(home)	0-0	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Schwabmünchen(away)	2-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Kirchanschöring(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 8, 2026	TuS Geretsried(away)	1-2	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Gundelfingen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

1860 München II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Deisenhofen(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 18, 2026	Landshut(away)	2-6	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 14, 2026	Hankofen-Hailing(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 7, 2026	Pfaffenhofen(away)	2-3	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Jul 31, 2026	Schalding-Heining(home)	1-1	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Schwaig win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 1860 München II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 28, 2026	1860 München II 3-0 Sportfreunde Schwaig	Oberliga - Bayern Süd
Aug 15, 2025	Sportfreunde Schwaig 0-3 1860 München II	Oberliga - Bayern Süd

Last archived meeting: 1860 München II vs Sportfreunde Schwaig on Feb 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Schwaig score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; 1860 München II score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Schwaig	1.8	1.1	5	9/15	9/15
1860 München II	2.6	1.4	4	10/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Schwaig sit 9th in Oberliga - Bayern Süd (46 points from 33 matches) and 1860 München II sit 1st (72 points from 33 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1860 München II	33	22	6	5	76	25	72
9	Sportfreunde Schwaig	33	12	10	11	49	45	46

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II?: The Footlab model makes 1860 München II the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Sportfreunde Schwaig.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II played?: Sportfreunde Schwaig vs 1860 München II is played on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Schwaig Platz 1, in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.