Scotland vs Portugal: result 1-3 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on October 14, 2018 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Hampden Park, Glasgow
Full time
What was the result of Scotland vs Portugal?
Portugal won 1-3 on October 14, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 43′Hélder CostaPortugal
- 74′Éderzito António Macedo LopesPortugal
- 84′BrumaPortugal
- 90′S. NaismithScotland
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scotland have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Portugal have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | Israel(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Albania(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Belgium(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 3, 2018 | Mexico(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| May 30, 2018 | Peru(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2018 | Poland(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2018 | Italy(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 6, 2018 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 30, 2018 | Uruguay(away) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2018 | Iran(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Scotland score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal score 1.6 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 1.1 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Portugal | 1.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy