Slovenia vs Switzerland: prediction and stats
UEFA Nations LeagueLeague B - 5Kick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Ljudski vrt, Maribor
The Footlab AI model makes Switzerland the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Slovenia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Switzerland wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,387 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Switzerland starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,581).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Slovenia vs Switzerland
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Slovenia
5-4-1- 18Z. Vipotnik
- 15D. Šturm
- 20A. Matko
- 22A. Čerin
- 4M. Zabukovnik
- 6J. Bijol
- 13E. Janža
- 2Ž. Karničnik
- 23D. Brekalo
- 17D. Zec
- 1J. Oblak
Switzerland
4-2-3-1- 10Z. Amdouni
- 8R. Freuler
- 11D. Ndoye
- 9J. Manzambi
- 14A. Jashari
- 22F. Rieder
- 5M. Akanji
- 13R. Rodríguez
- 4N. Elvedi
- 16Zachary Athekame
- 1G. Kobel
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 01:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slovenia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Switzerland have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Scotland(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Switzerland(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Scotland(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Croatia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Slovenia(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scotland(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 1-3 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Slovenia wins, 1 draw, 2 Switzerland wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Switzerland 2-1 Slovenia | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Slovenia 0-0 Switzerland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Switzerland 3-0 Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Last archived meeting: Switzerland vs Slovenia on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Slovenia score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Switzerland score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Switzerland | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slovenia sit 2nd in UEFA Nations League (7 points from 4 matches) and Switzerland sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
A question about Slovenia vs Switzerland?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slovenia vs Switzerland?
- The Footlab AI model makes Switzerland the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Slovenia.
- Where and when is Slovenia vs Switzerland played?
- Slovenia vs Switzerland is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Ljudski vrt, in the UEFA Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.