Scunthorpe vs Boston United: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Boston United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Scunthorpe vs Boston United?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Scunthorpe (1,857) and Boston United (1,793).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Boston United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-3 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stoke City U21(home) | 4-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Southend(away) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Yeovil Town(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Birmingham City U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Scunthorpe win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Boston United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Scunthorpe 3-6 Boston United | National League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Boston United 1-1 Scunthorpe | National League |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Scunthorpe 0-0 Boston United | National League - North - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: Scunthorpe vs Boston United on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Scunthorpe score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boston United score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scunthorpe | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Boston United | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Scunthorpe sit 19th in National League (1 points from 3 matches) and Boston United sit 6th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boston United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 19 | Scunthorpe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Boston United?
- The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Boston United played?
- Scunthorpe vs Boston United is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.