Eastleigh vs Barrow: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Silverlake Stadium, Eastleigh, Hampshire
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Barrow?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Eastleigh (1,710) and Barrow (1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eastleigh vs Barrow
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eastleigh
4-3-3- 11A. Blair
- 7Max Dickov
- 23Hady Ghandour
- 24J. Cousins
- 8J. Lundstram
- 4Harry Sidwell
- 18T. Dobson-Ventura
- 27Reece Johnson
- 2J. Caprice
- 6T. Eweka
- 1N. Townsend
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 03:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eastleigh have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Barrow have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Woking(home) | 1-3 | National League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Southend(home) | 1-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-4 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carlisle(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eastleigh wins, 0 draws, 4 Barrow wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2019 | Barrow 2-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Mar 16, 2019 | Eastleigh 0-1 Barrow | National League |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Barrow 0-3 Eastleigh | National League |
| Apr 10, 2018 | Barrow 3-2 Eastleigh | National League |
| Nov 18, 2017 | Eastleigh 0-2 Barrow | National League |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Eastleigh 2-0 Barrow | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Eastleigh score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eastleigh sit 17th in National League (15 points from 13 matches) and Barrow sit 8th (21 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Eastleigh vs Barrow?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eastleigh vs Barrow?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Eastleigh vs Barrow played?
- Eastleigh vs Barrow is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Silverlake Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.