Sutton Utd vs Worthing: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)VBS Community Stadium, Sutton, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Sutton Utd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Worthing?
Worthing starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,774).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutton Utd have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Worthing have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hartlepool(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 0-0 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Woking(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Forest Green(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 3-2 | National League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sutton Utd win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Worthing win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2017 | Sutton Utd 3-2 Worthing | FA Trophy |
| Jan 14, 2017 | Worthing 2-2 Sutton Utd | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Sutton Utd vs Worthing on Jan 24, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Sutton Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Worthing score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutton Utd | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Worthing | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sutton Utd sit 2nd in National League (9 points from 3 matches) and Worthing sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sutton Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Worthing | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutton Utd vs Worthing?
- The Footlab model makes Worthing the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Sutton Utd.
- Where and when is Sutton Utd vs Worthing played?
- Sutton Utd vs Worthing is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at VBS Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.