Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 played?

Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21: prediction and stats

National League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Attis Arena, Scunthorpe

Scunthorpe

Derby County U21

The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Derby County U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?

Scunthorpe starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,650).

Scunthorpe win63 %

Draw19 %

Derby County U21 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Scunthorpe have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Derby County U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Scunthorpe
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eastleigh(away)	2-3	National League
Aug 18, 2026	Stoke City U21(home)	4-0	National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Southend(away)	0-1	National League
Aug 8, 2026	Yeovil Town(home)	1-1	National League
Jul 31, 2026	Chesterfield(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

Derby County U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Reading U21(away)	3-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	FC Halifax Town(away)	2-6	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Hull City U21(home)	1-4	Premier League Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Carlisle(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Apr 27, 2026	Brentford U21(away)	0-2	Professional Development League

How many goals should we expect?

Scunthorpe score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Derby County U21 score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Scunthorpe	1.4	1.3	4	7/15	5/15
Derby County U21	1.3	2.3	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21?: The Footlab model makes Scunthorpe the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Derby County U21.
Where and when is Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 played?: Scunthorpe vs Derby County U21 is played on October 13, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Attis Arena, in the National League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.