SD Logroñés vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 10Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño
The Footlab model makes SD Logroñés the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate SD Logroñés (1,831) and Castellón II (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SD Logroñés have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Castellón II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Tudelano(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alfaro(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SD Logroñés win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Castellón II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés 1-0 Castellón II | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Castellón II 2-3 SD Logroñés | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
Last archived meeting: SD Logroñés vs Castellón II on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SD Logroñés score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SD Logroñés | 0.7 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SD Logroñés | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SD Logroñés vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab model makes SD Logroñés the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is SD Logroñés vs Castellón II played?
- SD Logroñés vs Castellón II is played on November 8, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.