Sebat Gençlikspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, Trabzon
The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sebat Gençlikspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Sebat Gençlikspor (1,744) and 68 Aksaray Belediyespor (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sebat Gençlikspor have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; 68 Aksaray Belediyespor have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(away) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Çayelispor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mardin 1969(away) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Fethiyespor(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Sebat Gençlikspor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; 68 Aksaray Belediyespor score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebat Gençlikspor | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 47 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sebat Gençlikspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Sebat Gençlikspor the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Sebat Gençlikspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor played?
- Sebat Gençlikspor vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Ortahisar Yavuz Selim Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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