Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, Aliağa
The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Menemen FK. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK?
Aliağa FAŞ starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aliağa FAŞ have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Menemen FK have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bursaspor(home) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Menemen FK(home) | 5-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 5-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Somaspor(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Ankara Demirspor(away) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Mardin 1969(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aliağa FAŞ win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Menemen FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ 5-0 Menemen FK | 2. Lig |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Menemen FK 2-1 Aliağa FAŞ | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aliağa FAŞ score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliağa FAŞ | 2.1 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Menemen FK | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aliağa FAŞ sit 4th in 2. Lig (69 points from 34 matches) and Menemen FK sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aliağa FAŞ | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 81 | 32 | 69 |
| 8 | Menemen FK | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 57 | 51 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK?
- The Footlab model makes Aliağa FAŞ the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Menemen FK.
- Where and when is Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK played?
- Aliağa FAŞ vs Menemen FK is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Aliağa Şehir Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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