Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor played?

Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, Derince

Güzide Gebzespor

Erbaaspor

The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Güzide Gebzespor (1,674) and Erbaaspor (1,600).

Güzide Gebzespor win59 %

Draw23 %

Erbaaspor win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Güzide Gebzespor have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Güzide Gebzespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Ankara Demirspor(away)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Mardin 1969(home)	1-2	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Fethiyespor(home)	1-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Muş Sport Klübü(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)	1-0	2. Lig

Erbaaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)	1-3	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Ankaragücü(home)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Elazığspor(away)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Adana 01 FK(home)	0-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	24 Erzincanspor(away)	2-3	2. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Güzide Gebzespor win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Erbaaspor win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 16, 2025	Erbaaspor 2-0 Güzide Gebzespor	2. Lig
Oct 5, 2024	Güzide Gebzespor 1-1 Erbaaspor	2. Lig
Sep 28, 2021	Güzide Gebzespor 2-1 Erbaaspor	Türkiye Kupası
Dec 15, 2019	Erbaaspor 1-2 Güzide Gebzespor	3. Lig - Group 2
Apr 29, 2017	Erbaaspor 4-1 Güzide Gebzespor	3. Lig - Group 3
Dec 18, 2016	Güzide Gebzespor 0-0 Erbaaspor	3. Lig - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Güzide Gebzespor on Feb 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Güzide Gebzespor score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Güzide Gebzespor	1.5	1.1	5	7/15	7/15
Erbaaspor	0.9	1.5	3	9/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Güzide Gebzespor sit 7th in 2. Lig (58 points from 34 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Güzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56	31	58
15	Erbaaspor	36	10	7	19	40	61	34

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor?: The Footlab model makes Güzide Gebzespor the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor played?: Güzide Gebzespor vs Erbaaspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Derince Belediyespor Doğal Çim Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.