Where and when is Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor played?

Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Muş Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Muş Şehir Stadı, Muş

Muş Sport Klübü

Kastamonuspor

The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor?

Muş Sport Klübü starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,653).

Muş Sport Klübü win77 %

Draw15 %

Kastamonuspor win8 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Muş Sport Klübü have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Kastamonuspor have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Muş Sport Klübü
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 9, 2026	Mardin 1969(away)	1-2	2. Lig
May 4, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(home)	0-0	2. Lig
Apr 30, 2026	Aliağa FAŞ(away)	1-1	2. Lig
Apr 25, 2026	Adanaspor(home)	6-0	2. Lig
Apr 19, 2026	Fethiyespor(away)	1-1	2. Lig

Kastamonuspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Muğlaspor(home)	0-3	2. Lig
Apr 12, 2026	Şanlıurfaspor(away)	2-5	2. Lig
Apr 8, 2026	Karaman FK(home)	2-2	2. Lig
Apr 4, 2026	Karacabey Belediyespor(away)	0-4	2. Lig
Mar 29, 2026	Batman Petrolspor(home)	1-2	2. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Muş Sport Klübü score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Muş Sport Klübü	1.9	1.1	3	10/15	8/15
Kastamonuspor	0.7	1.8	2	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Muş Sport Klübü sit 3rd in 2. Lig (70 points from 34 matches) and Kastamonuspor sit 12th (42 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Muş Sport Klübü	34	21	7	6	82	35	70
12	Kastamonuspor	36	11	9	16	44	56	42

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor?: The Footlab model makes Muş Sport Klübü the favourite at 77%, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Kastamonuspor.
Where and when is Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor played?: Muş Sport Klübü vs Kastamonuspor is played on October 11, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Muş Şehir Stadı, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.