Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Sejong SA. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen?
Jinju Citizen starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,744 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sejong SA have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Jinju Citizen have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 4-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Haman(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gijang United(away) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pohang Steelers(away) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Busan Transportation(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pyeongtaek Citizen(away) | 2-0 | K4 League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Ansan Greeners(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sejong SA win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Jinju Citizen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen 2-1 Sejong SA | FA Cup |
| May 3, 2026 | Jinju Citizen 4-0 Sejong SA | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Jinju Citizen vs Sejong SA on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sejong SA score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Jinju Citizen score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sejong SA | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Jinju Citizen | 2.3 | 1.0 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sejong SA sit 7th in K4 League (23 points from 17 matches) and Jinju Citizen sit 1st (46 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jinju Citizen | 17 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 13 | 46 |
| 7 | Sejong SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen?
- The Footlab model makes Jinju Citizen the favourite at 64%, against 19% for a draw and 17% for Sejong SA.
- Where and when is Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen played?
- Sejong SA vs Jinju Citizen is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC), in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.