Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA: prediction and stats
K4 LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC)Pyeongtaek Ichon Leports Stadium, Pyeongtaek
The Footlab model makes Sejong SA the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pyeongtaek Citizen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA?
Sejong SA starts as the favourite with a 168-point Elo edge (1,605 vs 1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pyeongtaek Citizen have 1 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats; Sejong SA have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(home) | 0-2 | K4 League |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Seosan Pioneer(home) | 0-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Yeoju Sejong(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Jungnang Chorus Mustang(home) | 1-1 | K4 League |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(home) | 2-3 | K4 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Jecheon Citizen(away) | 4-5 | K4 League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Haman(away) | 0-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Jincheon(home) | 4-1 | K4 League |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Jinju Citizen(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Pyeongchang United(home) | 1-3 | K4 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pyeongtaek Citizen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sejong SA win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Sejong SA 2-2 Pyeongtaek Citizen | K4 League |
Last archived meeting: Sejong SA vs Pyeongtaek Citizen on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pyeongtaek Citizen score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sejong SA score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyeongtaek Citizen | 0.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sejong SA | 1.7 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pyeongtaek Citizen sit 13th in K4 League (9 points from 17 matches) and Sejong SA sit 7th (23 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sejong SA | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 30 | 23 |
| 13 | Pyeongtaek Citizen | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA?
- The Footlab model makes Sejong SA the favourite at 67%, against 18% for a draw and 15% for Pyeongtaek Citizen.
- Where and when is Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA played?
- Pyeongtaek Citizen vs Sejong SA is played on October 4, 2026 at 06:00 AM (UTC) at Pyeongtaek Ichon Leports Stadium, in the K4 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.