Selaya vs Naval Reinosa: result 3-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Castañal, Selaya
Full time
What was the result of Selaya vs Naval Reinosa?
Selaya won 3-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 14′685477Naval Reinosa
- 25′611713Selaya (pen.)
- 58′685478Selaya
- 61′685479Naval Reinosa
- 86′611713Selaya
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Selaya win at 52%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Selaya have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Naval Reinosa have 0, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Escobedo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tropezón(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Castro(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Albericia(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Laredo(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bezana(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Torina(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Velarde(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Selaya score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Naval Reinosa score 0.5 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selaya | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Naval Reinosa | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 1/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Selaya sit 16th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 10 matches) and Naval Reinosa sit 18th (6 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Selaya | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 7 |
| 18 | Naval Reinosa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 6 |
A question about Selaya vs Naval Reinosa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy