Castro vs Tropezón: result 0-2 and analysis
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 5Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Riomar, Castro Urdiales
Full time
What was the result of Castro vs Tropezón?
Tropezón won 0-2 on October 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′J. MadronoTropezón (pen.)
- 48′Alvaro RabaTropezón
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tropezón win at 53%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 0-1. Actual score: 0-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Castro have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tropezón have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Atlético Mineros(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Revilla(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Solares(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Selaya(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Tropezón(home) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Revilla(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Solares(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Selaya(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Laredo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Arnedo(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Castro win, 0 draws, 5 Tropezón wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Castro 0-2 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Tropezón 3-1 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 24, 2025 | Tropezón 2-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 18, 2025 | Castro 0-1 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tropezón 1-0 Castro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Castro 2-1 Tropezón | Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Castro score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tropezón score 1.5 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castro | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tropezón | 1.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Castro sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 (5 points from 6 matches) and Tropezón sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 13 | Castro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Castro vs Tropezón?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy