Septemvri Simitli vs Kariana Erden: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Kariana Erden have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | Litex(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Dobrudzha(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Dec 4, 2020 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Nov 27, 2020 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Neftochimic Burgas(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2020 | Hebar 1918(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Nov 9, 2020 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Litex(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Simitli score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kariana Erden score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kariana Erden | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy