Septemvri Simitli vs Kariana Erden: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 20, 2021 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Kariana Erden have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2021 | Litex(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Dobrudzha(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
| Dec 4, 2020 | FK Minyor Pernik(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Nov 27, 2020 | Lokomotiv Sofia(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Nov 20, 2020 | Neftochimic Burgas(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2020 | Hebar 1918(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Strumska Slava(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Nov 9, 2020 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Septemvri Sofia(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Oct 27, 2020 | Litex(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Simitli score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kariana Erden score 2.0 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Simitli | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Kariana Erden | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy