Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri SimitliKyustendil

The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil?

On Elo ratings, Septemvri Simitli has 1,420 points and Kyustendil 1,397.

59%24%17%
Septemvri Simitli winDrawKyustendil win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Septemvri Simitli

4-3-3
  1. GG. Bozhilov
  2. NN. Chibout
  3. VV. Zlatinov
  1. HH. Mladenov
  2. FF. Angelov
  3. JJ. Da Sylva
  1. KK. Mihaylov
  2. DD. Mitev
  3. PP. Kepov
  4. SS. Kosov
  1. FF. Dimitrov

Kyustendil

4-3-3
  1. AAleksandar Krasimirov Aleksandrov
  2. SS. Blagoev
  3. PPlamen Plamenov Petrov
  1. DD. Mladenov
  2. TT. Stoichkov
  3. DD. Gogov
  1. DD. Iliev
  2. AA. Ademov
  3. GG. Kupenov
  4. BB. Stoynev
  1. II. Topalov

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:21 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Belasitsa(home)1-1Third League - Southwest
Oct 3, 2026Strumska Slava(away)2-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Oborishte(home)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026Bansko(away)1-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(home)0-2Third League - Southwest
Kyustendil
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 7, 2026Oborishte(away)2-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 26, 2026Bansko(home)0-3Third League - Southwest
Sep 19, 2026FK Minyor Pernik(away)0-2Third League - Southwest
Sep 12, 2026Pirin Razlog(home)0-1Third League - Southwest
Sep 5, 2026Natsional Sofia(away)1-1Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Simitli wins, 2 draws, 2 Kyustendil wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 29, 2026Septemvri Simitli 2-0 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Nov 15, 2025Kyustendil 1-0 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Jun 4, 2025Septemvri Simitli 3-1 KyustendilThird League - Southwest
Nov 23, 2024Kyustendil 3-0 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Mar 16, 2024Kyustendil 3-3 Septemvri SimitliThird League - Southwest
Sep 2, 2023Septemvri Simitli 2-2 KyustendilThird League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli1.61.359/158/15
Kyustendil0.91.828/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 10th in Third League - Southwest (13 points from 11 matches) and Kyustendil sit 16th (9 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Septemvri Simitli11344151913
16Kyustendil1023510169

A question about Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil?
The Footlab AI model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil played?
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Septemvri Simitli and Kyustendil

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