Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil played?

Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil: prediction and stats

Third League - SouthwestSouthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Struma, Simitli

Septemvri Simitli

Kyustendil

The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kyustendil. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Septemvri Simitli (1,489) and Kyustendil (1,450).

Septemvri Simitli win62 %

Draw23 %

Kyustendil win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Simitli have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Kyustendil have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Septemvri Simitli
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chavdar Etropole(away)	2-4	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(home)	0-0	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(away)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Kostinbrod(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Kyustendil(home)	2-0	Third League - Southwest

Kyustendil
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	CSKA Sofia III(away)	1-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 15, 2026	Balkan Botevgrad(home)	0-1	Third League - Southwest
Aug 8, 2026	Kostinbrod(away)	1-3	Third League - Southwest
Aug 1, 2026	Slivnishki geroy(home)	2-1	Third League - Southwest
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli(away)	0-2	Third League - Southwest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Septemvri Simitli win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Kyustendil win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 29, 2026	Septemvri Simitli 2-0 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Nov 15, 2025	Kyustendil 1-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Jun 4, 2025	Septemvri Simitli 3-1 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest
Nov 23, 2024	Kyustendil 3-0 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Mar 16, 2024	Kyustendil 3-3 Septemvri Simitli	Third League - Southwest
Sep 2, 2023	Septemvri Simitli 2-2 Kyustendil	Third League - Southwest

Last archived meeting: Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil on May 29, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Septemvri Simitli score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kyustendil score 0.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Septemvri Simitli	1.4	0.9	7	5/15	6/15
Kyustendil	0.7	1.6	4	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Septemvri Simitli sit 6th in Third League - Southwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Kyustendil sit 15th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Septemvri Simitli	4	2	1	1	6	5	7
15	Kyustendil	4	1	1	2	4	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil?: The Footlab model makes Septemvri Simitli the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Kyustendil.
Where and when is Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil played?: Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil is played on October 17, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Struma, in the Third League - Southwest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.