Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Carraia, Coreglia Antelminelli
The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano. The most likely score is 1-1. If Seravezza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,522).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano
Not enough data to predict the Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano lineup.
Seravezza
Not enough data to predict the Seravezza lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Seravezza have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 3-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Prato(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mezzolara(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano wins, 0 draws, 4 Seravezza wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Seravezza 2-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 11, 2025 | Seravezza 1-0 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 1-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Seravezza 0-3 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 0-1 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
Last archived meeting: Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Seravezza score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 0.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Seravezza | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano sit 18th in Serie D - Girone E (1 point from 6 matches) and Seravezza sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Seravezza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 18 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
A question about Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza?
- The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano.
- Where and when is Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza played?
- Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano vs Seravezza is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Carraia, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.