Seravezza vs Prato: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Prato. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs Prato?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Seravezza (1,779) and Prato (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Prato have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Prato(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | San Donato Tavarnelle(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Seravezza win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Prato win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prato 1-2 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Prato 1-0 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Seravezza 1-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Seravezza 2-3 Prato | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Prato 0-1 Seravezza | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Dec 7, 2022 | Seravezza 2-3 Prato | Coppa Italia Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Prato | 1.6 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seravezza sit 5th in Serie D - Girone E (57 points from 34 matches) and Prato sit 2nd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 63 |
| 5 | Seravezza | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42 | 29 | 57 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Prato?
- The Footlab model makes Seravezza the favourite at 40%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Prato.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs Prato played?
- Seravezza vs Prato is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026LucchesevsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Nov 8, 2026Robur SienavsGrassina
- Nov 8, 2026MezzolaravsGavorrano
- Nov 8, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Nov 8, 2026ScandiccivsFlaminia
- Nov 8, 2026ProgressovsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Nov 8, 2026Tau AltopasciovsTerranuova Traiana
- Nov 8, 2026RondinellavsTernana