Rondinella vs Ternana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 11Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Rondinella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ternana wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,990 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rondinella vs Ternana?
Ternana starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,744).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rondinella vs Ternana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rondinella
Not enough data to predict the Rondinella lineup.
Ternana
Not enough data to predict the Ternana lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Rondinella have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Ternana have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Recanatese(home) | 5-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
How many goals should we expect?
Rondinella score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 8; Ternana score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rondinella | 0.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 3/8 | 4/8 |
| Ternana | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rondinella sit 13th in Serie D - Girone E (9 points from 8 matches) and Ternana sit 11th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ternana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Rondinella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Rondinella vs Ternana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rondinella vs Ternana?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ternana the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Rondinella.
- Where and when is Rondinella vs Ternana played?
- Rondinella vs Ternana is played on November 8, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 8, 2026LucchesevsSan Donato Tavarnelle
- Nov 8, 2026Robur SienavsGrassina
- Nov 8, 2026SeravezzavsPrato
- Nov 8, 2026MezzolaravsGavorrano
- Nov 8, 2026Montevarchi CalciovsSasso Marconi Zola
- Nov 8, 2026ScandiccivsFlaminia
- Nov 8, 2026ProgressovsGhivizzano Borgo Mozzano
- Nov 8, 2026Tau AltopasciovsTerranuova Traiana