Seravezza vs Progresso: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, Pozzi Seravezza
The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Progresso. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Seravezza vs Progresso?
Seravezza starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,571).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Seravezza vs Progresso
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Seravezza
Not enough data to predict the Seravezza lineup.
Progresso
Not enough data to predict the Progresso lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seravezza have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Progresso have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Flaminia(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Lucchese(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Rondinella(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 0-5 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 3 Seravezza wins, 0 draws, 0 Progresso wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Progresso 0-3 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Seravezza 3-1 Progresso | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Progresso 0-1 Seravezza | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Progresso vs Seravezza on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Seravezza score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Progresso score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seravezza | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Progresso | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Seravezza sit 7th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 6 matches) and Progresso sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Seravezza | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 16 | Progresso | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
A question about Seravezza vs Progresso?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Seravezza vs Progresso?
- The Footlab AI model makes Seravezza the favourite at 59%, against 25% for a draw and 16% for Progresso.
- Where and when is Seravezza vs Progresso played?
- Seravezza vs Progresso is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Buon Riposo, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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