Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, Montevarchi
The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Robur Siena wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Montevarchi Calcio (1,731) and Robur Siena (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Montevarchi Calcio
Not enough data to predict the Montevarchi Calcio lineup.
Robur Siena
4-3-3- 7F. Disanto
- 9A. Paloschi
- 57Fiaschi
- 55G. Leone
- 10N. Belloni
- 14M. Meli
- 3A. Favalli
- 13L. Crescenzi
- 6D. Riccardi
- 2A. Raimo
- 1I. Lanni
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 10:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montevarchi Calcio have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Robur Siena have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rondinella(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Progresso(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Ternana(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Progresso(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Flaminia(away) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lucchese(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Montevarchi Calcio win, 1 draw, 4 Robur Siena wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Robur Siena 3-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Robur Siena 0-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Montevarchi Calcio 1-0 Robur Siena | Serie D - Girone E |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Montevarchi Calcio 1-2 Robur Siena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Robur Siena 1-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 6, 2022 | Robur Siena 2-0 Montevarchi Calcio | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Robur Siena vs Montevarchi Calcio on Sep 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Montevarchi Calcio score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Robur Siena score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montevarchi Calcio | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Robur Siena | 2.1 | 1.3 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montevarchi Calcio sit 10th in Serie D - Girone E (10 points from 8 matches) and Robur Siena sit 5th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Robur Siena | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 10 | Montevarchi Calcio | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 10 |
A question about Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena?
- The Footlab AI model makes Robur Siena the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Montevarchi Calcio.
- Where and when is Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena played?
- Montevarchi Calcio vs Robur Siena is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Gastone Brilli Peri, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.